Here is my pre tournament win probabilities table for 2023 March Madness: team rd_1 rd_2 rd_3 rd_4 rd_5 rd_6 rd_7 Houston 100.0% 97.2% 79.3% 66.6% 46.3% 35.1% 22.0% Alabama 100.0% 98.0% 72.7% 55.9% 41.7% 24.4% 13.8% UCLA 100.0% 97.0% 77.9% 53.0% 34.1% 20.9% 13.0% Tennessee 100.0% 98.7% 70.7% 41.1% 29.0% 13.5% 7.1% Texas 100.0% 91.6% 66. Read more